Un modelo vectorial autorregresivo (VAR) aplicado a la fecundidad y nupcialidad en España
Keywords:
Fecundidad, nupcialidad, vector autorregresivoAbstract
The study analyzes in Spain the relationship between fecundity and marriage. In order to analyze how marriage and fertility are interrelated variables over time empirically evaluated a model that attempts to capture the noncausal temporal relationships between both phenomena in Spain. The analysis is approached by a VAR model and impulse response functions. The data used comes from the National Statistics Institute (INE). It has proven a fluctuating relationship between the two processes and weakly procyclical. The performances on BIRTHS generate effects on both series showing influence-leadership.
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